Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005656 0.006286 0.006969 0.007768 0.008680 0.009690 0.010898
2025-06-15 0.004642 0.005502 0.006512 0.007792 0.009387 0.011323 0.013877
2025-06-22 0.004185 0.005180 0.006410 0.008063 0.010252 0.013093 0.017127
2025-06-29 0.003697 0.004727 0.006053 0.007912 0.010498 0.014038 0.019374
2025-07-06 0.003315 0.004354 0.005736 0.007747 0.010665 0.014846 0.021493
2025-07-13 0.003056 0.004111 0.005558 0.007736 0.011019 0.015933 0.024149
2025-07-20 0.002899 0.003991 0.005531 0.007925 0.011671 0.017522 0.027814
2025-07-27 0.002695 0.003782 0.005351 0.007859 0.011912 0.018483 0.030568
2025-08-03 0.002534 0.003620 0.005224 0.007855 0.012239 0.019607 0.033767
2025-08-10 0.002372 0.003442 0.005055 0.007763 0.012404 0.020463 0.036595
2025-08-17 0.002258 0.003328 0.004975 0.007804 0.012793 0.021751 0.040456
2025-08-24 0.002128 0.003180 0.004826 0.007715 0.012937 0.022602 0.043570
2025-08-31 0.001967 0.002978 0.004586 0.007462 0.012786 0.022931 0.045774
2025-09-07 0.001872 0.002876 0.004504 0.007481 0.013150 0.024324 0.050628
2025-09-14 0.001829 0.002855 0.004554 0.007739 0.013994 0.026805 0.058536
2025-09-21 0.001722 0.002719 0.004394 0.007595 0.014028 0.027588 0.062497
2025-09-28 0.001621 0.002588 0.004236 0.007439 0.014015 0.028264 0.066336
2025-10-05 0.001552 0.002507 0.004158 0.007428 0.014304 0.029656 0.072409
2025-10-12 0.001516 0.002480 0.004177 0.007607 0.015018 0.032143 0.082185
2025-10-19 0.001448 0.002394 0.004080 0.007545 0.015192 0.033361 0.088570
2025-10-26 0.001393 0.002327 0.004014 0.007541 0.015495 0.034945 0.096524
2025-11-02 0.001332 0.002244 0.003913 0.007453 0.015596 0.036023 0.103151
2025-11-09 0.001290 0.002196 0.003873 0.007493 0.016001 0.037973 0.113320